The importance of location
Trade Growth Prospects Along the New Silk Road
The development of the Chełm and Dorohusk Dry Ports aligns with broader strategic shifts in global logistics, driven by the dynamic expansion of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) – the New Silk Road. As noted by Rzeczpospolita, the total trade volume among countries participating in the BRI could exceed USD 2.5 trillion annually in the coming years, positioning the initiative as one of the most capital-intensive and forward-looking infrastructure projects on a global scale.
According to an analysis by Credit Suisse, China alone is expected to invest between USD 313 billion and USD 502 billion in BRI infrastructure over the next five years – spanning more than 60 countries across three continents. Within this framework, Poland – strategically located at the crossroads of Eurasian trade routes – stands to become a central transport and logistics hub for the European Union.
A report by the Centre for Economics and Business Research further suggests that Poland’s active participation in the New Silk Road could contribute up to USD 48 billion to its GDP over the long term. The planned investments in Chełm and Dorohusk – designed as strategic dry ports directly connected to the Middle Corridor – are well positioned to capture a significant share of land-based trade on the China-Central Asia-Ukraine-EU route, offering faster, safer, and more predictable alternatives to traditional routes through Russia and Belarus.